Rootsi paberipuidu turu analüüs ja selle mõju Eesti paberipuidu turule
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Kuupäev
2024
Kättesaadavus
10.09.2024
Autorid
Ajakirja pealkiri
Ajakirja ISSN
Köite pealkiri
Kirjastaja
Eesti Maaülikool
Abstrakt
Uurimuses analüüsiti Rootsi paberipuidu turgu ja selle mõju Eesti paberipuidu turule.
Kirjanduse analüüsis vaadeldi Rootsi metsanduse mastaape ja seda, kuidas ajaloolised
arengud on mõjutanud paberipuidu turgu. Kes on suuremad metsamaa omanikud ja
turuosalised Rootsis ning millised Rootsi metsandusega ja säästliku metsamajandamise
seotud seadusandlused on paberipuidu turule mõju avaldanud. Kahe riigi vahelisi
paberipuidu hindade seoseid uuriti „Ühe hinna seaduse“ alusel. See ütleb, et samas
vääringus väljendatud pikaajalised turutasakaalu hinnad on igas piirkonnas samad või
erinevad vaid nende piirkondade vaheliste transpordikulude võrra. Uuring hõlmab
ajavahemikku 2008–2023. Andmed on kogutud kvartaalsete hindadena. Analüüsiks
kasutati vektor-autoregressiivset mudelit (VAR), mis võimaldab analüüsida mitut aegrida
samaaegselt, võttes arvesse iga aegrea sõltuvust nii enda kui ka teiste aegridade
minevikust. Uurimuses leiti, et Eesti ja Rootsi paberipuidu hindadel on seos, kuid „Ühe
hinna seaduse“ toimimist kinnitada ei saa. Eesti ja Rootsi paberipuidu turud on üksteisest
mõjutatud, kuid suuremat mõju paberipuidu hindade avaldab Eesti.
The study analyses the Swedish pulpwood market and its impact on the Estonian pulpwood market. The literature review examines the scale of the Swedish forestry industry and how historical developments have influenced the market for pulpwood. It defines the major forest owners and market players in Sweden, and discusses the legislation related to Swedish forestry and sustainable forest management that has influenced the pulpwood market. The relationship between pulpwood prices between the two countries was investigated based on the "Law of One Price". This states that the longterm market equilibrium prices, expressed in the same currency, are the same in each region or differ only by the transport costs between these regions. The study covers the period from 2008 to 2023, with data collected in quarterly prices. A vector autoregressive model (VAR) was used for the analysis, allowing for the simultaneous analysis of several time series, considering the dependence of each time series on its own past as well as on the past of other time series. The study found a correlation between Estonian and Swedish pulpwood prices, but the " Law of One Price " could not be confirmed. The Estonian and Swedish markets for pulpwood influence each other, but Estonia has a greater influence on pulpwood prices.
The study analyses the Swedish pulpwood market and its impact on the Estonian pulpwood market. The literature review examines the scale of the Swedish forestry industry and how historical developments have influenced the market for pulpwood. It defines the major forest owners and market players in Sweden, and discusses the legislation related to Swedish forestry and sustainable forest management that has influenced the pulpwood market. The relationship between pulpwood prices between the two countries was investigated based on the "Law of One Price". This states that the longterm market equilibrium prices, expressed in the same currency, are the same in each region or differ only by the transport costs between these regions. The study covers the period from 2008 to 2023, with data collected in quarterly prices. A vector autoregressive model (VAR) was used for the analysis, allowing for the simultaneous analysis of several time series, considering the dependence of each time series on its own past as well as on the past of other time series. The study found a correlation between Estonian and Swedish pulpwood prices, but the " Law of One Price " could not be confirmed. The Estonian and Swedish markets for pulpwood influence each other, but Estonia has a greater influence on pulpwood prices.
Kirjeldus
Magistritöö
Metsatööstuse õppekaval
Märksõnad
magistritööd, paberipuit, Rootsi, Eesti, puidukaubandus, “Ühe hinna reegel“